Yunnan province is one of the most serious regions of HIV/AIDS epidemic in China. By October 31, 2015, total 29652 AIDS patients, 23316 deaths. Using the gray system model to predict the HIV/AIDS epidemic situation is a beneficial attempt. We can apply mathematical model in the study of this epidemic, managing to find its regularity and to predict its trend. Through the analysis of HIV/AIDS epidemic, we can lay a solid foundation for further research and work on AIDS prevention and control, and provide a reference basis for prevention strategies and countermeasures.
Published in | Science Innovation (Volume 4, Issue 2) |
DOI | 10.11648/j.si.20160402.13 |
Page(s) | 40-44 |
Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2016. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Grey System Model, AIDS, Prevention and Control
[1] | 陆林.云南艾滋病流行20年.[J].昆明医科大学学报2013,(6):1-4 |
[2] | 陈东等.我国艾滋病疫情发展趋势预测的防控措施分析[J].中国公共卫生管理2013,(1):3-7 |
[3] | 肖民扬等.云南省艾滋病病毒感染者和艾滋病患者的高危行为影响因素分析[J].中华疾病控制杂志2013,(12):1021-1024 |
[4] | 安晓静等.云南省艾滋病综合管理对相关服务可及性的影响分析[J].中国艾滋病性病2013,(2):134-137 |
[5] | GM(1,1)模型在预测云南省艾滋病病毒(HIV)感染者上的应用研究.[J].云南大学学报(自然科学版)2008,30(S1):452-455 |
[6] | 邓聚龙.灰色系统基本方法[M].武汉:华中科技大学出版社,2004:2 |
[7] | 刘思峰,党耀国,方志耕.《灰色系统理论及其应用》[M](第三版)科学出版社,2007年1月:164 |
[8] | 云南疾控资讯网,http://www.yncdc.cn |
[9] | 刘斌.灰色建模系统(软件),科学出版社,2004年 |
[10] | 2014年10月31日:云南省艾滋病疫情,http://www.yncdc.cn/newsview.aspx?id=107070 |
[11] | 今年1-10月云南新增染艾患者9768例.春城晚报A042015、12、1 |
[12] | 2014年云南省艾滋病主要防治工作进展,http://www.yncdc.cn/newsview.aspx?id=107071 |
[13] | 今日数据.春城晚报A042015、12、1 |
APA Style
Yang Baiyun. (2016). The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China. Science Innovation, 4(2), 40-44. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20160402.13
ACS Style
Yang Baiyun. The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China. Sci. Innov. 2016, 4(2), 40-44. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20160402.13
AMA Style
Yang Baiyun. The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China. Sci Innov. 2016;4(2):40-44. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20160402.13
@article{10.11648/j.si.20160402.13, author = {Yang Baiyun}, title = {The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China}, journal = {Science Innovation}, volume = {4}, number = {2}, pages = {40-44}, doi = {10.11648/j.si.20160402.13}, url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20160402.13}, eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.si.20160402.13}, abstract = {Yunnan province is one of the most serious regions of HIV/AIDS epidemic in China. By October 31, 2015, total 29652 AIDS patients, 23316 deaths. Using the gray system model to predict the HIV/AIDS epidemic situation is a beneficial attempt. We can apply mathematical model in the study of this epidemic, managing to find its regularity and to predict its trend. Through the analysis of HIV/AIDS epidemic, we can lay a solid foundation for further research and work on AIDS prevention and control, and provide a reference basis for prevention strategies and countermeasures.}, year = {2016} }
TY - JOUR T1 - The Application of Grey System Model in AIDS Prevention and Control in Yunnan Province of China AU - Yang Baiyun Y1 - 2016/04/08 PY - 2016 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20160402.13 DO - 10.11648/j.si.20160402.13 T2 - Science Innovation JF - Science Innovation JO - Science Innovation SP - 40 EP - 44 PB - Science Publishing Group SN - 2328-787X UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20160402.13 AB - Yunnan province is one of the most serious regions of HIV/AIDS epidemic in China. By October 31, 2015, total 29652 AIDS patients, 23316 deaths. Using the gray system model to predict the HIV/AIDS epidemic situation is a beneficial attempt. We can apply mathematical model in the study of this epidemic, managing to find its regularity and to predict its trend. Through the analysis of HIV/AIDS epidemic, we can lay a solid foundation for further research and work on AIDS prevention and control, and provide a reference basis for prevention strategies and countermeasures. VL - 4 IS - 2 ER -