Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin

Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou; François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin; Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji; Amevi Acakpovi; Emile Adjibadé Sanya

doi:doi:10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12

Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin

Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou, François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin, Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji, Amevi Acakpovi, Emile Adjibadé Sanya

Published in International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering (Volume 7, Issue 1)

Received: 7 February 2018 Accepted: 27 February 2018 Published: 16 March 2018

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Abstract

Water is the most essential element for hydropower energy production. However, it has been well established that climate change will negatively globally impact water resources and in Sub-Saharan Africa particularly. It is therefore important to take this into account when assessing the potential hydropower energy of rivers to avoid overestimating their production’s capacity. This article firstly deals with the impacts of climate change on the forecast of potential hydropower energy of the Ouémé River Basin by 2040 and secondly develops the best equations for its exploitation. The data collected on three representative sites of the Ouémé River Basin (Bétérou, Savè, Kétou) from 1989 to 2016 and those derived from simulation of its flows from 2017 to 2040 by the Rural Engineering model (GR2M), made it possible to determine, first the monthly mean flow and, with the classified flow rate method, then evaluate the associated operating times. Using the obtained two parameters (mean flow-rate, production’s time), the hydropower energy was estimated as well, for period of 1989 to 2016, as for that of 2017 to 2040, and this in each of the retained three sites. The results show that the exploitable nominal flow-rates by hydro-electrical equipment set that can be installed are respectively 50 m³/s at Bétérou, 90 m³/s at Savè and 145 m³/s at Kétou. These results showed Kétou as the best site capable of hosting the largest hydropower energy plant on the Ouémé river basin. In Bétérou and Savè, the two-machines option (respectively 25 m³/s and 45 m³/s) is the most profitable, in terms of potential hydropower energy and its production duration, whereas in Kétou, the three-machines option of 50 m³/s each is the best.

Published in	International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering (Volume 7, Issue 1)
DOI	10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12
Page(s)	6-18
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2018. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Forecast, GR2M, Climate Change, Ouémé River, Simulation, Hydropower Energy

References

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[4]	Haguma, D. Gestion des ressources hydriques adaptée aux changements climatiques pour la production optimale d’hydroélectricité étude de cas: bassin versant de la rivière manicouagan, Thèse de doctorat, Universite de Sherbrooke, Canada, 2013, pp. 267.
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[6]	Nicholson, S. E. Climatic and environmental change in Africa during the last two centuries, Clim. Res., 17(2), 2001, pp. 123-144.
[7]	Le Lay, M. Modélisation hydrologique dans un contexte de variabilité hydro-climatique : une approche comparative pour l’étude du cycle hydrologique à méso-échelle au Bénin, Thèse de doctorat, Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble, France, 2006, pp. 251.
[8]	Desjarlais, C., and Da Silva, L. L’impact économique des changements climatiques sur la production hydroélectrique du Saint-Laurent, Rapport présenté à la Division des impacts et de l’adaptation liés aux changements climatiques, Ressources naturelles Canada et au Gouvernement du Québec, Montréal, Canada, 2016, pp.16.
[9]	Boucher, M. A., Changements climatiques et production hydroélectrique canadienne: où en sommes-nous?, Canadian Water Resour. J., 38(3), 2013, pp. 196–209.
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[12]	Lawin, A. E. Analyse climatologique et statistique du régime pluviométrique de la Haute Vallée de l’Ouémé à partir des données AMMA – CATCH Bénin, Thèse de Doctorat, Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble, France, 2007, pp. 211.
[13]	Diekkrüger, B., Busche, H., Giertz, S. and Steup, G. Hydrology, In: Impacts of Global Change on the Hydrological Cycle in West and Northwest Africa. Speth, P., Christoph, M. and Diekkrüger, B. (Eds.). Springer, Heidelberg, Germany, 2010, pp. 60-64.
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[16]	Nounangnonhou, T. C., Fifatin, F.-X. N., Lokonon, B. E., Acakpovi, A. and Sanya, E. A. Modelling and Prediction of Ouémé (Bénin) River Flows by 2040 Based on GR2M Approach, Larhyss journal (under review).
[17]	Rebillard, V. Détermination et mise en place des régimes réservés pour les cours d’eau, Synthèse technique réalisé au Centre d’Etude du Machinisme Agricole, du Génie Rural, des Eaux et des Forêts (CEMAGREF) Lyon, France, 2006, pp. 26.
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APA Style

Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou, François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin, Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji, Amevi Acakpovi, Emile Adjibadé Sanya. (2018). Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin. International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering, 7(1), 6-18. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12

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ACS Style

Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou; François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin; Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji; Amevi Acakpovi; Emile Adjibadé Sanya. Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin. Int. J. Energy Power Eng. 2018, 7(1), 6-18. doi: 10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12

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AMA Style

Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou, François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin, Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji, Amevi Acakpovi, Emile Adjibadé Sanya. Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin. Int J Energy Power Eng. 2018;7(1):6-18. doi: 10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12

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@article{10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12,
  author = {Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou and François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin and Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji and Amevi Acakpovi and Emile Adjibadé Sanya},
  title = {Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin},
  journal = {International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering},
  volume = {7},
  number = {1},
  pages = {6-18},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijepe.20180701.12},
  abstract = {Water is the most essential element for hydropower energy production. However, it has been well established that climate change will negatively globally impact water resources and in Sub-Saharan Africa particularly. It is therefore important to take this into account when assessing the potential hydropower energy of rivers to avoid overestimating their production’s capacity. This article firstly deals with the impacts of climate change on the forecast of potential hydropower energy of the Ouémé River Basin by 2040 and secondly develops the best equations for its exploitation. The data collected on three representative sites of the Ouémé River Basin (Bétérou, Savè, Kétou) from 1989 to 2016 and those derived from simulation of its flows from 2017 to 2040 by the Rural Engineering model (GR2M), made it possible to determine, first the monthly mean flow and, with the classified flow rate method, then evaluate the associated operating times. Using the obtained two parameters (mean flow-rate, production’s time), the hydropower energy was estimated as well, for period of 1989 to 2016, as for that of 2017 to 2040, and this in each of the retained three sites. The results show that the exploitable nominal flow-rates by hydro-electrical equipment set that can be installed are respectively 50 m3/s at Bétérou, 90 m3/s at Savè and 145 m3/s at Kétou. These results showed Kétou as the best site capable of hosting the largest hydropower energy plant on the Ouémé river basin. In Bétérou and Savè, the two-machines option (respectively 25 m3/s and 45 m3/s) is the most profitable, in terms of potential hydropower energy and its production duration, whereas in Kétou, the three-machines option of 50 m3/s each is the best.},
 year = {2018}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin
AU  - Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou
AU  - François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin
AU  - Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji
AU  - Amevi Acakpovi
AU  - Emile Adjibadé Sanya
Y1  - 2018/03/16
PY  - 2018
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12
DO  - 10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12
T2  - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering
JF  - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering
JO  - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering
SP  - 6
EP  - 18
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2326-960X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12
AB  - Water is the most essential element for hydropower energy production. However, it has been well established that climate change will negatively globally impact water resources and in Sub-Saharan Africa particularly. It is therefore important to take this into account when assessing the potential hydropower energy of rivers to avoid overestimating their production’s capacity. This article firstly deals with the impacts of climate change on the forecast of potential hydropower energy of the Ouémé River Basin by 2040 and secondly develops the best equations for its exploitation. The data collected on three representative sites of the Ouémé River Basin (Bétérou, Savè, Kétou) from 1989 to 2016 and those derived from simulation of its flows from 2017 to 2040 by the Rural Engineering model (GR2M), made it possible to determine, first the monthly mean flow and, with the classified flow rate method, then evaluate the associated operating times. Using the obtained two parameters (mean flow-rate, production’s time), the hydropower energy was estimated as well, for period of 1989 to 2016, as for that of 2017 to 2040, and this in each of the retained three sites. The results show that the exploitable nominal flow-rates by hydro-electrical equipment set that can be installed are respectively 50 m3/s at Bétérou, 90 m3/s at Savè and 145 m3/s at Kétou. These results showed Kétou as the best site capable of hosting the largest hydropower energy plant on the Ouémé river basin. In Bétérou and Savè, the two-machines option (respectively 25 m3/s and 45 m3/s) is the most profitable, in terms of potential hydropower energy and its production duration, whereas in Kétou, the three-machines option of 50 m3/s each is the best.
VL  - 7
IS  - 1
ER  -

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Author Information

Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou

Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Abomey-Calavi, Calavi, Benin
François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin
Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji

Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Abomey-Calavi, Calavi, Benin
Amevi Acakpovi

Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Accra Technical University, Accra, Ghana
Emile Adjibadé Sanya

Department of Mechanical and Energetic Engineering, University of Abomey-Calavi, Calavi, Benin

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APA Style

Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou, François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin, Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji, Amevi Acakpovi, Emile Adjibadé Sanya. (2018). Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin. International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering, 7(1), 6-18. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12

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ACS Style

Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou; François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin; Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji; Amevi Acakpovi; Emile Adjibadé Sanya. Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin. Int. J. Energy Power Eng. 2018, 7(1), 6-18. doi: 10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12

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AMA Style

Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou, François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin, Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji, Amevi Acakpovi, Emile Adjibadé Sanya. Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin. Int J Energy Power Eng. 2018;7(1):6-18. doi: 10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12

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@article{10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12,
  author = {Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou and François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin and Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji and Amevi Acakpovi and Emile Adjibadé Sanya},
  title = {Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin},
  journal = {International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering},
  volume = {7},
  number = {1},
  pages = {6-18},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijepe.20180701.12},
  abstract = {Water is the most essential element for hydropower energy production. However, it has been well established that climate change will negatively globally impact water resources and in Sub-Saharan Africa particularly. It is therefore important to take this into account when assessing the potential hydropower energy of rivers to avoid overestimating their production’s capacity. This article firstly deals with the impacts of climate change on the forecast of potential hydropower energy of the Ouémé River Basin by 2040 and secondly develops the best equations for its exploitation. The data collected on three representative sites of the Ouémé River Basin (Bétérou, Savè, Kétou) from 1989 to 2016 and those derived from simulation of its flows from 2017 to 2040 by the Rural Engineering model (GR2M), made it possible to determine, first the monthly mean flow and, with the classified flow rate method, then evaluate the associated operating times. Using the obtained two parameters (mean flow-rate, production’s time), the hydropower energy was estimated as well, for period of 1989 to 2016, as for that of 2017 to 2040, and this in each of the retained three sites. The results show that the exploitable nominal flow-rates by hydro-electrical equipment set that can be installed are respectively 50 m3/s at Bétérou, 90 m3/s at Savè and 145 m3/s at Kétou. These results showed Kétou as the best site capable of hosting the largest hydropower energy plant on the Ouémé river basin. In Bétérou and Savè, the two-machines option (respectively 25 m3/s and 45 m3/s) is the most profitable, in terms of potential hydropower energy and its production duration, whereas in Kétou, the three-machines option of 50 m3/s each is the best.},
 year = {2018}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - Forecast of Impacts of Climate Change on Hydropower Potential of Ouémé River at the 2040's Horizon in Benin
AU  - Télesphore Cossi Nounangnonhou
AU  - François-Xavier Nicolas Fifatin
AU  - Richy Maurel Aza-Gnandji
AU  - Amevi Acakpovi
AU  - Emile Adjibadé Sanya
Y1  - 2018/03/16
PY  - 2018
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12
DO  - 10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12
T2  - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering
JF  - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering
JO  - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering
SP  - 6
EP  - 18
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2326-960X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20180701.12
AB  - Water is the most essential element for hydropower energy production. However, it has been well established that climate change will negatively globally impact water resources and in Sub-Saharan Africa particularly. It is therefore important to take this into account when assessing the potential hydropower energy of rivers to avoid overestimating their production’s capacity. This article firstly deals with the impacts of climate change on the forecast of potential hydropower energy of the Ouémé River Basin by 2040 and secondly develops the best equations for its exploitation. The data collected on three representative sites of the Ouémé River Basin (Bétérou, Savè, Kétou) from 1989 to 2016 and those derived from simulation of its flows from 2017 to 2040 by the Rural Engineering model (GR2M), made it possible to determine, first the monthly mean flow and, with the classified flow rate method, then evaluate the associated operating times. Using the obtained two parameters (mean flow-rate, production’s time), the hydropower energy was estimated as well, for period of 1989 to 2016, as for that of 2017 to 2040, and this in each of the retained three sites. The results show that the exploitable nominal flow-rates by hydro-electrical equipment set that can be installed are respectively 50 m3/s at Bétérou, 90 m3/s at Savè and 145 m3/s at Kétou. These results showed Kétou as the best site capable of hosting the largest hydropower energy plant on the Ouémé river basin. In Bétérou and Savè, the two-machines option (respectively 25 m3/s and 45 m3/s) is the most profitable, in terms of potential hydropower energy and its production duration, whereas in Kétou, the three-machines option of 50 m3/s each is the best.
VL  - 7
IS  - 1
ER  -

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