Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh

Raihan Khan Opu; Abdullah Al Masum; Ringkon Biswas; Samiul Islam

doi:doi:10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12

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Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh

Raihan Khan Opu, Abdullah Al Masum, Ringkon Biswas, Samiul Islam

Published in American Journal of Civil Engineering (Volume 2, Issue 1)

Received: 15 January 2014 Published: 20 February 2014

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Abstract

In most of the practical cases, Flood frequency analysis is carried out due to the safe design of hydraulic structures. This paper represents the result of Flood frequency analysis for Padma River at Hardinge Bridge station. The Flood frequencies of 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500 and 1000 year Floods was analyzed by probability methods develop by Gumbel, Powell, Ven Te chow as well as Stochastic methods. The analysis was carried out for the duration of 13 years ranges from 2000 to 2012. This research aims to compare four methods of Flood frequency analysis to find the optimum method in terms of safe design of hydraulic structures. From the comparison between four methods the Gumbel and stochastic method may be recommended for designing and locating hydraulic structures.

Published in	American Journal of Civil Engineering (Volume 2, Issue 1)
DOI	10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12
Page(s)	8-11
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2014. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Flood frequency, Return period, Padma River, Standard Deviation, Skewness

References

[1]	H.M Raghunath, 2009 revised edition, Hydrology: principle analysis and design, New Delhi, New age international publishers.
[2]	Tumbare, M. J. 2000. "Mitigating Flood in South Africa", paper at the 1st WARSFA/ water Net Symposium: suntainable use of water Resources, 1-2 November, Maputo
[3]	Ahmed, A.U and Mirza, M. M. Q. 2000. "Review of causes and Dimensions of Floods with Particular Reference to Flood’ 98: National Perspectives". In Ahmed, Q.K., Chowdhury, Press Limited, Dhaka, pp. 67-84.
[4]	Bangladesh Water Development Board (BWDB), 2012. Annual Flood Report 2012, Flood Forecasting & Warning Centre Processing & Flood Forecasting Circle, Bangladesh Water Development Board.
[5]	Islam KMN, and Mechler R. 2007. ORCHID: Piloting Climate Risk Screening in DFID Bangladesh. An Economic and Cost Benefit Analysis of Adaptation Options. Institute of Development Studies, University of Sussex, UK.
[6]	Economics of Adaption to Climate Change Bangladesh 2010. The World Bank Group, Washington, D.C. 20433 USA
[7]	Catchment areas of major rivers : http://www.jrcb.gov.bd/basin_map.html ( Accessed 5th January, 2014)
[8]	Hassan S. and Akhtaruzzaman A.F.M 2010. "Environmental Change Detection of the Padma river in the North-Western part of Bangladesh using Multi-date Landsat Data" ICEAB10, Japan, Sept. 2010
[9]	K. Sunbaranya, 2011 Eleventh reprint, Engineering hydrology, New Delhi, Tata McGraw Hill Education Private Limited.

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APA Style

Raihan Khan Opu, Abdullah Al Masum, Ringkon Biswas, Samiul Islam. (2014). Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh. American Journal of Civil Engineering, 2(1), 8-11. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12

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ACS Style

Raihan Khan Opu; Abdullah Al Masum; Ringkon Biswas; Samiul Islam. Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh. Am. J. Civ. Eng. 2014, 2(1), 8-11. doi: 10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12

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AMA Style

Raihan Khan Opu, Abdullah Al Masum, Ringkon Biswas, Samiul Islam. Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh. Am J Civ Eng. 2014;2(1):8-11. doi: 10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12

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@article{10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12,
  author = {Raihan Khan Opu and Abdullah Al Masum and Ringkon Biswas and Samiul Islam},
  title = {Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh},
  journal = {American Journal of Civil Engineering},
  volume = {2},
  number = {1},
  pages = {8-11},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajce.20140201.12},
  abstract = {In most of the practical cases, Flood frequency analysis is carried out due to the safe design of hydraulic structures. This paper represents the result of Flood frequency analysis for Padma River at Hardinge Bridge station. The Flood frequencies of 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500 and 1000 year Floods was analyzed by probability methods develop by Gumbel, Powell, Ven Te chow as well as Stochastic methods. The analysis was carried out for the duration of 13 years ranges from 2000 to 2012. This research aims to compare four methods of Flood frequency analysis to find the optimum method in terms of safe design of hydraulic structures. From the comparison between four methods the Gumbel and stochastic method may be recommended for designing and locating hydraulic structures.},
 year = {2014}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh
AU  - Raihan Khan Opu
AU  - Abdullah Al Masum
AU  - Ringkon Biswas
AU  - Samiul Islam
Y1  - 2014/02/20
PY  - 2014
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12
DO  - 10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12
T2  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
JF  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
JO  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
SP  - 8
EP  - 11
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2330-8737
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12
AB  - In most of the practical cases, Flood frequency analysis is carried out due to the safe design of hydraulic structures. This paper represents the result of Flood frequency analysis for Padma River at Hardinge Bridge station. The Flood frequencies of 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500 and 1000 year Floods was analyzed by probability methods develop by Gumbel, Powell, Ven Te chow as well as Stochastic methods. The analysis was carried out for the duration of 13 years ranges from 2000 to 2012. This research aims to compare four methods of Flood frequency analysis to find the optimum method in terms of safe design of hydraulic structures. From the comparison between four methods the Gumbel and stochastic method may be recommended for designing and locating hydraulic structures.
VL  - 2
IS  - 1
ER  -

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Author Information

Raihan Khan Opu

Dept. of Civil Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering and Technology, Rajshahi 6204, Bangladesh
Abdullah Al Masum

Dept. of Civil Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering and Technology, Rajshahi 6204, Bangladesh
Ringkon Biswas

Dept. of Civil Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering and Technology, Rajshahi 6204, Bangladesh
Samiul Islam

Junior Engineer BETS consulting services Ltd., Dhaka, Bangladesh

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Plain Text BibTeX RIS

APA Style

Raihan Khan Opu, Abdullah Al Masum, Ringkon Biswas, Samiul Islam. (2014). Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh. American Journal of Civil Engineering, 2(1), 8-11. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12

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ACS Style

Raihan Khan Opu; Abdullah Al Masum; Ringkon Biswas; Samiul Islam. Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh. Am. J. Civ. Eng. 2014, 2(1), 8-11. doi: 10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12

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AMA Style

Raihan Khan Opu, Abdullah Al Masum, Ringkon Biswas, Samiul Islam. Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh. Am J Civ Eng. 2014;2(1):8-11. doi: 10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12

Copy | Download

@article{10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12,
  author = {Raihan Khan Opu and Abdullah Al Masum and Ringkon Biswas and Samiul Islam},
  title = {Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh},
  journal = {American Journal of Civil Engineering},
  volume = {2},
  number = {1},
  pages = {8-11},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajce.20140201.12},
  abstract = {In most of the practical cases, Flood frequency analysis is carried out due to the safe design of hydraulic structures. This paper represents the result of Flood frequency analysis for Padma River at Hardinge Bridge station. The Flood frequencies of 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500 and 1000 year Floods was analyzed by probability methods develop by Gumbel, Powell, Ven Te chow as well as Stochastic methods. The analysis was carried out for the duration of 13 years ranges from 2000 to 2012. This research aims to compare four methods of Flood frequency analysis to find the optimum method in terms of safe design of hydraulic structures. From the comparison between four methods the Gumbel and stochastic method may be recommended for designing and locating hydraulic structures.},
 year = {2014}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - Flood Frequency Analysis by Probability and Stochastic Method for Padma River, Bangladesh
AU  - Raihan Khan Opu
AU  - Abdullah Al Masum
AU  - Ringkon Biswas
AU  - Samiul Islam
Y1  - 2014/02/20
PY  - 2014
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12
DO  - 10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12
T2  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
JF  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
JO  - American Journal of Civil Engineering
SP  - 8
EP  - 11
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2330-8737
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajce.20140201.12
AB  - In most of the practical cases, Flood frequency analysis is carried out due to the safe design of hydraulic structures. This paper represents the result of Flood frequency analysis for Padma River at Hardinge Bridge station. The Flood frequencies of 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500 and 1000 year Floods was analyzed by probability methods develop by Gumbel, Powell, Ven Te chow as well as Stochastic methods. The analysis was carried out for the duration of 13 years ranges from 2000 to 2012. This research aims to compare four methods of Flood frequency analysis to find the optimum method in terms of safe design of hydraulic structures. From the comparison between four methods the Gumbel and stochastic method may be recommended for designing and locating hydraulic structures.
VL  - 2
IS  - 1
ER  -

Copy | Download